Se conosci il nemico e te stesso la tua vittoria è sicura. Se conosci te stesso ma non il nemico, le tue probabilità di vincere e perdere sono uguali. Se non conosci il nemico e nemmeno te stesso, soccomberai in ogni battaglia.

An optimal analytical strategy requires that analyst search for information to disconfirm their favorite theories, not employ a satisficing strategy that permits acceptance of the first hypothesis that seems consistent with the evidence.

Intelligence analyst should be self consciuous about their reasoning process. They should think about how they make judgements and reach conclusions, not just about the judgement and conclusions themselves.